by AngelofAwe » 19 Mar 2020 21:04
We're heading for 1 million global cases on the 31st of March at current speed.
China is standing almost still at just over 80k cases but the cases outside of China are increasing by 1,17 times every day since the 9th of March.
9.3 - 33627 cases outside of China according to Worldometers statistics. Multiply by 1,17 and keep multiplying your own number for every new day. The accuracy so far is pretty good.
Real number according to worldometers in brackets.
10.3 - 33627 * 1,17 = 39343 (38170)
11.3 - 39343 * 1,17 = 46032 (45421)
12.3 - 46032 * 1,17 = 53857 (53763)
13.3 - 53857 * 1,17 = 63013 (64659)
14.3 - 63013 * 1,17 = 73725 (75809)
15.3 - 86258 (88733)
16.3 - 100922 (101609)
17.3 - 118079 (117344)
18.3 - 138153 (137894)
Today's prediction is 161639. There are usually a few more cases coming in later before the reset but currently we're standing at 160739 on worldometers.
The following numbers with the 1,17 prediction would be 189117, 221267, 258883, 302893, 354385, 414631, 485118, 567588, 664078, 776971, 909057 (30th of March).
Add the current 81k in China on top of that and we're touching the 1 million boundary.