So, Germany just hit a reproduction-rate of 1, with estimations predicting that we hit 0,8 in a couple of days. That even surpasses the best-case scenario that was given for us. Source is the head of the RKI in Germany.
We still have to see how that pans out, but strong effort by us
At this point in time, even in Germany with a good ratio of IC-beds, every scenario that only relies on "flatten the curve" is shit, since a curve, that is flat enough to overwhelm the healthcare-system takes more than a year, making a vaccine the only hope. So taking big measurements to get the reproduction-rate below 1 to get back to a containment-scenario is crucial to avoid tenthousands of deaths + death of the economy.
So lets hope that the RKI is right and we can beat this mofo. If that happens I guess several european countries could follow with Germanys help/by our example.
Obviously there is still a risk until a vaccine is found, but it would make this whole shitshow much more tolerable.